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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?63%▲14.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?37%▼11.0Fed rate hike in 2026?55%▼9.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?6%▼16.7US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?49%▼8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?68%▲4.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?64%▼16.7Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?77%▼7.6Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?69%▼2.0Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?54%▼30.6Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?55%▼3.0Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?25%▼5.3Iran leadership change by December 31?22%▲5.0S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?95%▲0.4"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?76%▲20.8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?44%▲1.5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?63%▲14.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?37%▼11.0Fed rate hike in 2026?55%▼9.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?6%▼16.7US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?49%▼8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?68%▲4.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?64%▼16.7Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?77%▼7.6Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?69%▼2.0Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?54%▼30.6Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?55%▼3.0Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?25%▼5.3Iran leadership change by December 31?22%▲5.0S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?95%▲0.4"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?76%▲20.8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?44%▲1.5

Event · resolves around 2026-08-03

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

3 related contracts across Polymarket · $256.2K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?PolymarketCrypto1%0.0 pts$129K8168Developing
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?PolymarketCrypto2%-1.1 pts$71.8K7837Developing
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?PolymarketCrypto17%-1.0 pts$55.3K7632Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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