US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?57%21.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?82%6.6Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?17%7.1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?87%7.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21%5.0Will Bryan Johnson dunk in 2026?17%15.8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?99%5.8Will Bryan Johnson dunk before EOY 2027?33%21.8Will twitter / x.com be open source before September?18%21.9Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?69%4.0Bordeaux evacuated before middle of August?19%18.5Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election?75%28.9Israel closes its airspace by July 31?7%1.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?16%1.0Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?23%26.7Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?18%8.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?57%21.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?82%6.6Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?17%7.1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?87%7.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21%5.0Will Bryan Johnson dunk in 2026?17%15.8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?99%5.8Will Bryan Johnson dunk before EOY 2027?33%21.8Will twitter / x.com be open source before September?18%21.9Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?69%4.0Bordeaux evacuated before middle of August?19%18.5Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election?75%28.9Israel closes its airspace by July 31?7%1.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?16%1.0Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?23%26.7Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?18%8.0

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