Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election?
Final price
82.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 82.8%.
- Final market price
- 82.8%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 82.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 82.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election? The final Manifold price was 82.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 82.8%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 80d ago