Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Kalshi)
This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 50.0%.
- Final market price
- 50.0%
- Event deadline
- July 29, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
- Resolution source
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's off…
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting? The final Kalshi price was 50.0%. This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 50.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:34 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Kalshi
- Event deadline
- July 29, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 80d ago
What this market actually measures
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Jul 29, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Jul 29, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution source: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's off…