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Home/Politics/Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?
PolymarketPoliticsUpdated 12m ago

Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?

Last traded probability
99.7%
+1.0 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
99.7%
Event deadline
August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
open

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 99.7%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
September 1, 2026 at 9:32 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 1, 2026 at 9:44 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
12m ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

24/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity76

Depth of the order book and volume

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ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto

Market data

24h volume

$80K

Liquidity

$14.8K

Total volume

$80.9K

Category
Politics
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.6 pts
Best bid
99.4%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
98.7% – 99.7%
Resolves
Aug 31, 2026

Trust breakdown

24/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+53
  • Price steadiness+24
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
Trust score24 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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