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Home/Geopolitics/Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?
PolymarketGeopoliticsUpdated 4m ago

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

Last traded probability
96.8%
+2.8 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
96.8%
Event deadline
August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Venue status
open

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 96.8%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
September 1, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 1, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
4m ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

0/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity76

Depth of the order book and volume

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ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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Market data

24h volume

$108.3K

Liquidity

$20.1K

Total volume

$134.3K

Category
Geopolitics
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
1.7 pts
Best bid
95.9%
Best ask
97.6%
7-day range
93.5% – 96.9%
Resolves
Aug 31, 2026

Trust breakdown

0/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+53
  • Price steadiness+10
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score0 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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