Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 30?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 30? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 30, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 36d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market data
24h volume
$51.7K
Liquidity
$117.5K
Total volume
$72.1K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1 pts
- Best bid
- 99.9%
- Best ask
- 100.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 30, 2026