Israel closes its airspace by September 30?65%5.5Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?25%6.0Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? 21%21.4Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?66%7.5Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?24%62.9Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?32%5.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?67%2.5Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?20%4.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?83%2.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?19%2.0Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?12%2.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?14%3.0Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?23%10.1Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?53%7.1Iran full airspace closure by September 30?13%4.0Ethereum price at Sep 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?2%74.0
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 2h ago

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
x.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
September 5, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 4:32 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
2h ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: x.com

Market data

24h volume

$100.6K

Liquidity

$50.5K

Total volume

$147.4K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Sep 5, 2026
Resolution
x.com

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