ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?19%▲13.9Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?99%▲9.2Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?74%▼10.2Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?78%▲29.0Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?68%▼6.0Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?54%▲15.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?14%▼7.0Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?11%▲8.6"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avatar: The Way of Water"? (>2.3B worldwide)85%▲20.9Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?57%▲21.0Will Rodri join Barcelona?98%▲18.5US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?5%▼9.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?96%▲3.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?38%▲5.5Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?23%▼1.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?39%▼5.0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?19%▲13.9Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?99%▲9.2Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?74%▼10.2Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?78%▲29.0Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?68%▼6.0Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?54%▲15.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?14%▼7.0Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?11%▲8.6"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avatar: The Way of Water"? (>2.3B worldwide)85%▲20.9Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?57%▲21.0Will Rodri join Barcelona?98%▲18.5US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?5%▼9.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?96%▲3.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?38%▲5.5Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?23%▼1.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?39%▼5.0
Home/Macro / Fed/Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 5m ago

Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?

Last traded probability
100.0%
+66.5 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
100.0%
Event deadline
August 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
ligamx.net

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 17, 2026 at 1:31 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 17, 2026 at 1:36 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Club Tijuana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Club Tijuana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: ligamx.net

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

18/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity87

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?

78%YESTrust 7
Polymarket$197.4K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 2am EDT?

2%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$1.5K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 2am EDT?

5%YESTrust 0
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
5m ago

Market data

24h volume

$292.9K

Liquidity

$460.8K

Total volume

$293K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
28.5% – 100.0%
Resolves
Aug 16, 2026
Resolution
ligamx.net

Trust breakdown

18/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+62
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score18 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Kalshi
$591.6 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 2am EDT?

42%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$380.8 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 2am EDT?

2%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$339 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 2am EDT?

2%YESTrust 2
Kalshi$250 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]