Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
- Resolution source
- binance.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 12:21 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 30, 2026 at 9:54 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: binance.com
Market data
24h volume
$305.9K
Liquidity
$0
Total volume
$315.3K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1 pts
- Best bid
- 99.9%
- Best ask
- 100.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 17, 2026
- Resolution
- binance.com