ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 34d ago
Will there be at least one more peace talk by the US and Iran before August 1?
Final price
91.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 91.1%.
- Final market price
- 91.1%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will there be at least one more peace talk by the US and Iran before August 1? The final Manifold price was 91.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 91.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 34d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ198.7
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ726.1
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 91.1%
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
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