MLB: Will the Milwaukee Brewers sweep the Cincinnati Reds OR will the 3-game series total 31 or more runs?
A repricing with partial backing — read the new probability with some caution.
The pricing has partial support: thin trading volume.
How credible was the move?
Three separate questions — a move can be genuine while the latest price is still settling. Methodology →
Move validity
Is the move backed by real trading and depth?
ModerateThe pricing has partial support: thin trading volume.
Consensus stability
Has the market settled at the new probability?
FormingMovement has slowed (2.4 points over six hours) but the market has not fully settled.
Contract clarity
Will the rules resolve without ambiguity?
HighThe resolution rules are relatively specific, with a named source and a defined deadline.
From the latest trade tape (most recent 200 prints) — a live activity sample, not a lifetime total.
What this market actually measures
See previous similar propositions. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if either of the following conditions is met for the 3-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds scheduled for September 4–6, 2026: Brewers Sweep: The Milwaukee Brewers win all three games of the series (3–0).
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
See previous similar propositions. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if either of the following conditions is met for the 3-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds scheduled for September 4–6, 2026: Brewers Sweep: The Milwaukee Brewers win all three games of the series (3–0). Runs Total: The combined sum of runs scored by both teams (Brewers and Reds) across the three games is 31 or more. If the series is completed and neither condition is met, the market will resolve to NO. Additional Rules: Source of Truth: Resolution will be based on the official box scores and game results on MLB.com. Extra Innings: Runs scored during any extra innings count toward the series total. Postponements/Cancellations: If any of the three games are canceled, postponed, or suspended and not officially completed within the scheduled series window, the market will resolve to N/A unless the total runs scored in the played games already equal or exceed 31, in which case it will resolve to YES. Background The NL Central rivals meet for a three-game series at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati from September 4 to September 6, 2026. This market offers two paths to a "YES" resolution: a complete three-game sweep by the Brewers or a high-scoring series where both teams aggregate at least 31 runs. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
What could move this market next?
- The scheduled event takes placeSeptember 11, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET
The contract resolves on the event's outcome.
Derived from the contract's own mechanics as of Sep 2, 2:39 AM ET. ProbCast does not list scheduled meetings, announcements, or data releases it cannot verify.
Advanced analysis (experimental)
Research signals — these models are still accumulating the history needed for full validation, and they can disagree with the headline read. Model confidence: low · expected error ±24 pts.
What's happening
Recent movement was driven largely by one participant with little broad follow-through. The move may not represent consensus.