ManifoldPlay moneyAI / TechUpdated 41d ago

Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 2026

Final price
98.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.6%.

Final market price
98.6%
Event deadline
September 4, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 2026 The final Manifold price was 98.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.6%.

Market data as of
September 7, 2026 at 7:06 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 18, 2026 at 7:31 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
September 4, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
41d ago

What this market actually measures

Clarification: Public means the Public can Access the model Limited available to some Organisations does Not count Update 2026-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * API-only access counts as publicly available, provided that the API access is open to the general public and not restricted to specific organizations or verified accounts.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Clarification: Public means the Public can Access the model Limited available to some Organisations does Not count Update 2026-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * API-only access counts as publicly available, provided that the API access is open to the general public and not restricted to specific organizations or verified accounts.

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