Event · resolves around 2027-12-31

If Republicans — price targets · Dec 2027

2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?ManifoldPlay money17%-1.7 pts39Developing
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?ManifoldPlay money15%-1.3 pts39Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.