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Event · resolves around 2027-12-31
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $130K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Market | Venue | Prob | Δ 24h | Trust | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Polymarket | 81% | +0.5 pts | 74 | Worth watching |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Polymarket | 5% | -2.5 pts | 66 | Real move |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.