Event · resolves around 2026-09-24
Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026
3 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $98.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24? | Polymarket | 92% | -5.0 pts | 32 | Likely noise |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | Polymarket | 98% | +0.8 pts | 40 | Developing |
| Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $102 on September 24, 2026? | Manifold | 8% | -2.9 pts | 37 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.