Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Source: Polymarket price history
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 57.9%
- Event deadline
- June 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 57.9%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 29, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 22, 2026 at 10:35 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- June 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 23d ago
What this market actually measures
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.