PolymarketGeopoliticsUpdated 30d ago

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?

Final price
0.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyPolymarket

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)

Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.2%.

Final market price
0.2%
Event deadline
September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? The final Polymarket price was 0.2%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.2%.

Market data as of
October 1, 2026 at 2:11 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 31, 2026 at 5:45 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
30d ago

What this market actually measures

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

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