ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?53%▼8.0Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?64%▲22.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?46%▲8.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?28%▼25.0Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?100%▲63.2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?17%▼15.3Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?20%▼13.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?47%▼2.0Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?46%▼0.5Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?8%▲4.9Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?7%▼4.5Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 21th 11:59 pm UTC62%▲54.22026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House61%▲4.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?92%▲2.0Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?2%▼3.6Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?91%▲32.7

Event · resolves around 2026-09-17

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

3 related contracts across Polymarket · $231K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?Polymarket99%+1.3 pts60Confirmed move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?Polymarket0%0.0 pts67Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?Polymarket100%-0.2 pts65Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.