ProbCastOdds Reliability
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?65%▼6.5Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?14%▼9.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?27%▼7.5The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag79%▲14.3Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?88%▲72.0Will Ethan Sun make USAJMO in 202754%▲12.2Will the price of ICP hit $5 by Oct122%▼34.5Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?37%▼3.5Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?26%▲5.0Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?14%▲1.3Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?21%▲0.5Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 12am EDT?44%▲9.5Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?83%▼3.0Will the 2026 DeathList end with a final score of 9?13%▼30.5🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?48%▲2.7Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 12am EDT?27%▼13.0

Event · resolves around 2026-09-06

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

4 related contracts across Polymarket · $218.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 6?Polymarket2%-0.6 pts63Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 6?Polymarket100%0.0 pts67Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 6?Polymarket98%-0.5 pts62Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?Polymarket0%-0.2 pts63Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.