Event · resolves around 2028-11-07
Erika Kirk — election · Nov 2028
12 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $603.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.