Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?87%54.9Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?36%10.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?64%10.0Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?74%44.5Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?63%9.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?71%8.7Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?53%6.6Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?46%7.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?30%7.6Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?2%7.7Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?24%7.6Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?18%2.5Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?19%1.0Will Oracle report Q1 FY2027 revenue of at least $19.15 billion? (September 10, 2026 earnings)97%26.9Will the mail-in ballot restriction go into effect for the 2026 election?39%11.0Will an AI model generate a major novel physics theory that is experimentally confirmed by the end of 2037?69%46.7

Event · resolves around 2026-11-03

Average Gas — election · Nov 2026

2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

US Average Gas Price Is $5.000 or more on Election Day 2026?Manifold9%-2.1 pts32Developing
US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on Election Day 2026?Manifold55%+5.5 pts8Likely noise

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