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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3

Event · resolves around 2026-08-22

Rebecca Shepherd — election · Aug 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $1.4M traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Polymarket	Politics	0%	0.0 pts	$1.1M	83	78	Worth watching
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Polymarket	Politics	100%	0.0 pts	$225K	74	67	Worth watching

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.