Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 8, 2026 at 3:10 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 8, 2026 at 3:40 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 30m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market data
24h volume
$40.2K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Total volume
$57.6K