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Home/Macro / Fed/Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 12m ago

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5?

Last traded probability
99.9%
+1.0 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
99.9%
Event deadline
August 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
wunderground.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 99.9%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 6, 2026 at 3:04 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 6, 2026 at 3:16 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Market status

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://…

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution source: wunderground.com

Market data

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

14/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity71

Depth of the order book and volume

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ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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Awaiting resolution
Data updated
12m ago

24h volume

$45.1K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Total volume

$47K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.8%
Best ask
99.9%
7-day range
98.9% – 99.9%
Resolves
Aug 5, 2026
Resolution
wunderground.com

Trust breakdown

14/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+50
  • Price steadiness+17
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
Trust score14 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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