Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.4%
- Event deadline
- May 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.4%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 17, 2026 at 6:29 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- May 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 8m ago
What this market actually measures
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data
24h volume
$142.3K
Liquidity
$32.7K
Total volume