Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 16.1%
- Event deadline
- September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 16.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 14, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 14, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 4m ago
What this market actually measures
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data
24h volume
$87K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Total volume
$138.3K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 12.0 pts
- Best bid
- 10.1%
- Best ask
- 22.1%
- 7-day range
- 9.4% – 17.2%
- Resolves
- Sep 14, 2026