Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 89.3%
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 89.3%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 12, 2026 at 1:38 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 12, 2026 at 1:47 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 9m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.