Will my this market post cross 5Ok Mana mark? (THIS ONE)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.9%.
- Final market price
- 99.9%
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 7:14 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my this market post cross 5Ok Mana mark? (THIS ONE) The final Manifold price was 99.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.9%.
- Market data as of
- August 19, 2026 at 4:02 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 25, 2026 at 10:29 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 7:14 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the total trading volume of this specific market reaches or exceeds 50,000 Mana at any point prior to its close or resolution. If the market closes or is resolved before the total volume reaches 50,000 Mana, it will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the total trading volume of this specific market reaches or exceeds 50,000 Mana at any point prior to its close or resolution. If the market closes or is resolved before the total volume reaches 50,000 Mana, it will resolve to NO. The volume metric displayed publicly on this market's page will serve as the sole source of truth for resolution. Background Mana is the play-money currency used for trading on the Manifold platform. A market's "volume" represents the cumulative sum of all bets placed on it. Reaching a 50,000 Mana threshold typically requires a high level of trader engagement, multiple distinct participants, or several large wagers from high-volume accounts. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ51.6K
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 99.9%
- Resolves
- Aug 17, 2026