Will Abdul El Sayed and Francesca Hong both win their primaries?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- August 12, 2026 at 3:39 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Abdul El Sayed and Francesca Hong both win their primaries? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 15, 2026 at 4:09 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 25, 2026 at 10:28 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 12, 2026 at 3:39 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 41d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves yes if Abdul el Sayed wins the Michigan Democratic primary for senate and Francesca hong wins the Wisconsin Dem primary for governor. Resolves based on winners of primary.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves yes if Abdul el Sayed wins the Michigan Democratic primary for senate and Francesca hong wins the Wisconsin Dem primary for governor. Resolves based on winners of primary.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ61.6K
Liquidity
Ṁ8.4K
Total volume
Ṁ117.9K
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 1.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 12, 2026