Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?100%59.5Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%15.9Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?47%21.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?23%4.4Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?50%3.0Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 21th 11:59 pm UTC49%33.9Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?46%1.5Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?16%9.5Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?49%11.1Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?22%2.4Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?28%5.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?45%7.0Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?16%2.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?94%6.9Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?26%15.0Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?75%1.5
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 16m ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?

Final price
0.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.

Final market price
0.0%
Event deadline
September 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.

Market data as of
September 16, 2026 at 12:28 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 16, 2026 at 12:44 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
16m ago

What this market actually measures

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.…

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market data

24h volume

$61.9K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$0

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.0%
Best ask
0.1%
Resolves
Sep 16, 2026

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