ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?36%▼6.0Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?99%▲13.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?69%▼8.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?41%▲2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?36%▼1.5Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?59%▼3.0Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?7%▼44.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?5%▼5.3Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?50%▼8.1US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?2%▼7.5Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20%▼0.3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?10%▼3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?52%▼5.0"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?17%▼30.6Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?4%▼0.9Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?27%▼6.0
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?36%▼6.0Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?99%▲13.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?69%▼8.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?41%▲2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?36%▼1.5Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?59%▼3.0Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?7%▼44.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?5%▼5.3Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?50%▼8.1US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?2%▼7.5Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20%▼0.3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?10%▼3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?52%▼5.0"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?17%▼30.6Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?4%▼0.9Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?27%▼6.0
Home/Macro / Fed/Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 2h ago

Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?

Last traded probability
0.4%
-39.1 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
0.4%
Event deadline
August 18, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Venue status
closed
Resolution source
slstat.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.4%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 18, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 18, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 18, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If Al Khaleej Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If Al Khaleej Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: slstat.com

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

12/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity78

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?

0%YESTrust 32
Polymarket$77.3K 24h

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 18?

0%YESTrust 24
Polymarket$64.4K 24h

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?

7%YESTrust 0
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
2h ago

Market data

24h volume

$55K

Liquidity

$137.9K

Total volume

$0

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.5 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.6%
7-day range
0.4% – 39.5%
Resolves
Aug 18, 2026
Resolution
slstat.com

Trust breakdown

12/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+55
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score12 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Polymarket
$104K 24h

Will trump taco on Canadian tariffs today?

16%YESTrust 0
ManifoldṀ171 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

99%YESTrust 16
Kalshi$34.5K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

1%YESTrust 13
Kalshi$11.3K 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]