ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 42d ago
Will trump taco on Canadian tariffs today?
Final price
15.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 15.7%.
- Final market price
- 15.7%
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will trump taco on Canadian tariffs today? The final Manifold price was 15.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 15.7%.
- Market data as of
- August 21, 2026 at 9:11 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 3, 2026 at 12:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves yes if he scales back the tariffs before midnight
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves yes if he scales back the tariffs before midnight
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ172
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ172
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 15.7%
- Resolves
- Aug 18, 2026
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