Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Final market price
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 11:02 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 3, 2026 at 12:41 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 45d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market data
24h volume
$71.5K
Liquidity
$68.9K
Total volume
$83.9K
- Category
- Uncategorized
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 0.1%
- Resolves
- Aug 18, 2026