Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 30, 2026 at 2:21 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 30, 2026 at 3:27 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cross-venue check
1.0 pts apartManifold prices this same question at 99% vs Polymarket at 100%. The venues broadly agree, which adds confidence to the price.
Compare on Manifold →