Will the US House Censure any member by the end of 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 97.8%.
- Final market price
- 97.8%
- Event deadline
- September 14, 2026 at 1:42 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the US House Censure any member by the end of 2026? The final Manifold price was 97.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 97.8%.
- Market data as of
- September 17, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 14, 2026 at 1:42 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 34d ago
What this market actually measures
YES if US House passes a resolution of Censure against any individual who is a sitting member of the House (Identical market to: source market)
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
YES if US House passes a resolution of Censure against any individual who is a sitting member of the House (Identical market to: source market)