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Home/Crypto/Ethereum Up or Down on August 13?
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 11m ago

Ethereum Up or Down on August 13?

Last traded probability
0.1%
-67.5 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
0.1%
Event deadline
August 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
binance.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Ethereum Up or Down on August 13? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 13, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 13, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12…

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution source: binance.com

Market data

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

0/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity78

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?

9%YESTrust 0
Polymarket$179.3K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

74%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$13.2K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

4%YESTrust 0
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
11m ago

24h volume

$137.6K

Liquidity

$6.3K

Total volume

$163.1K

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.1%
7-day range
0.1% – 67.5%
Resolves
Aug 13, 2026
Resolution
binance.com

Trust breakdown

0/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+55
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score0 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Kalshi
$8.9K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

2%YESTrust 3
Kalshi$6.4K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

24%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$6.2K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 13, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

28%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$70 24h
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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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