Will the ICP Dashboard show at least 3,367,670 ICP holders on March 28, 2027?
Too little market data to assess this move — treat the probability with caution.
This venue reports too little volume or book data for this market to judge the trading behind the price.
How credible was the move?
Three separate questions — a move can be genuine while the latest price is still settling. Methodology →
Move validity
Is the move backed by real trading and depth?
Insufficient dataThis venue reports too little volume or book data for this market to judge the trading behind the price.
Consensus stability
Has the market settled at the new probability?
StableThe probability has held near its current level over the past several hours.
Contract clarity
Will the rules resolve without ambiguity?
HighThe resolution rules are relatively specific, with a named source and a defined deadline.
From the latest trade tape (most recent 200 prints) — a live activity sample, not a lifetime total.
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the ICP holder count shown on the official Internet Computer (ICP) Dashboard is at least 3,367,670 on March 28, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the ICP holder count shown on the official Internet Computer (ICP) Dashboard is at least 3,367,670 on March 28, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Primary Source: The holder count will be determined by visiting the ICP Dashboard Tokens Page and checking the Holders metric for the native ICP (Internet Computer) token. Timing: The resolution will use the metric visible on the dashboard at any point on March 28, 2027, in UTC. Alternative Verification: If the dashboard is temporarily offline, a snapshot from the Wayback Machine (archive.org) of the same page on or nearest to March 28, 2027, will be used. If the metric is permanently discontinued or unavailable, alternative blockchain explorers such as ICScan may be used to verify the number of unique ICP ledger account addresses holding a non-zero balance on that date. Background Internet Computer (ICP) is a decentralized layer-1 blockchain designed to host smart contracts capable of serving web content directly to users. The native utility token, ICP, is utilized for network governance (staking) and transaction execution. As of June 2026, the ICP Dashboard reported approximately 3,119,087 holders. This market tracks whether the network's adoption grows to surpass the milestone of 3,367,670 holders by late March 2027. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
What could move this market next?
- The market's deadline arrivesMarch 28, 2027 at 7:59 PM ET
The contract must resolve based on what has happened by this date.
Derived from the contract's own mechanics as of Aug 15, 10:42 PM ET. ProbCast does not list scheduled meetings, announcements, or data releases it cannot verify.
Advanced analysis (experimental)
Research signals — these models are still accumulating the history needed for full validation, and they can disagree with the headline read. Model confidence: low · expected error ±21 pts.
What's happening
Thin book and/or wide spread. Small orders can move this price disproportionately, so any single print is noisy and easily overread.