Will NVDA open down 5% or more on Monday, Sept 14, 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 13.2%.
- Final market price
- 13.2%
- Event deadline
- September 14, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will NVDA open down 5% or more on Monday, Sept 14, 2026? The final Manifold price was 13.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 13.2%.
- Market data as of
- September 14, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 14, 2026 at 3:18 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 14, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 4m ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if the official Nasdaq opening price for Nvidia on Sept 14, 2026 is more than 5.00% lower than the official closing price on Sept 11.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if the official Nasdaq opening price for Nvidia on Sept 14, 2026 is more than 5.00% lower than the official closing price on Sept 11.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ3.2K
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ3.2K
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 13.2%
- Resolves
- Sep 14, 2026