Will Trump have a national address this week and call certain aspects of the AI race an imminent threat to humanity?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 0.6%.
- Final market price
- 0.6%
- Event deadline
- September 20, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Trump have a national address this week and call certain aspects of the AI race an imminent threat to humanity? The final Manifold price was 0.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 0.6%.
- Market data as of
- September 23, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 4, 2026 at 9:29 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 20, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
[image]Resolves YES if before Sunday 20 september, 11.59pm est, trump has performed a national tv address that calls some parts of the ai race an imminent threat to humanity or words to that effect. Such as Expressing concerns about the ai race or that it may need to slow down.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
[image]Resolves YES if before Sunday 20 september, 11.59pm est, trump has performed a national tv address that calls some parts of the ai race an imminent threat to humanity or words to that effect. Such as Expressing concerns about the ai race or that it may need to slow down.