Will i vape in the next 1 hour
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.
- Final market price
- 59.0%
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will i vape in the next 1 hour The final Manifold price was 59.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 10, 2026 at 3:59 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 10, 2026 at 3:59 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- just now
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I inhale vapor from an electronic cigarette, vape pen, or similar electronic delivery system within 1 hour of this market's creation. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I inhale vapor from an electronic cigarette, vape pen, or similar electronic delivery system within 1 hour of this market's creation. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. Background This is a personal tracking market. Vaping refers to the inhalation of aerosol (vapor) produced by an e-cigarette or similar device, whether containing nicotine, THC, or flavor-only formulations.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ127
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ127
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold