Will more than 5 bots trade on this market?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 34.3%.
- Final market price
- 34.3%
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 7:49 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will more than 5 bots trade on this market? The final Manifold price was 34.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 34.3%.
- Market data as of
- August 13, 2026 at 6:04 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 10, 2026 at 7:49 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 68d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if 6 or more distinct accounts with the "isBot": true property in the Manifold API make at least one trade (buy or sell shares) on this market. If 5 or fewer distinct bot accounts trade on this market before it closes, it will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if 6 or more distinct accounts with the "isBot": true property in the Manifold API make at least one trade (buy or sell shares) on this market. If 5 or fewer distinct bot accounts trade on this market before it closes, it will resolve to NO. Verification: The transaction/trade history of this market will be used to identify all participating accounts. Each account's bot status will be verified using the Manifold API (isBot flag) or by the presence of a "Bot" badge on their profile. Only trades made before the market closes will count. Background Manifold Markets provides an open API that allows developers to run automated trading bots. Accounts designated as bots have the "isBot": true parameter in their API user data and are marked with a "Bot" label next to their username. Many bots programmatically scan new markets to execute trades based on arbitrage, LLM-based forecasting, or statistical heuristics. This market tracks whether at least 6 of these automated accounts will trade here. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.