ProbCast
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?0%▼52.4US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?96%▲68.1Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?38%▼23.5Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?45%▼5.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?49%▼5.5Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?3%▼0.8Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?30%▼6.0When Fable access returns, will it be available as part of the monthly paid plan?50%▼29.4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]19%▼6.3Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%▲3.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?5%▼2.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%▼2.2When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID?52%▼13.0Here 33 days. This is my 112th proposition. Will I reach 200 propositions by 7/26/26?60%▲11.0Does the Fed rate change in July?21%▼9.0I offered to raise money for a guy I met by video over a year ago. Will he accept my help fundraising by 7/11/26?41%▼13.0S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?0%▼52.4US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?96%▲68.1Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?38%▼23.5Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?45%▼5.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?49%▼5.5Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?3%▼0.8Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?30%▼6.0When Fable access returns, will it be available as part of the monthly paid plan?50%▼29.4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]19%▼6.3Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%▲3.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?5%▼2.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%▼2.2When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID?52%▼13.0Here 33 days. This is my 112th proposition. Will I reach 200 propositions by 7/26/26?60%▲11.0Does the Fed rate change in July?21%▼9.0I offered to raise money for a guy I met by video over a year ago. Will he accept my help fundraising by 7/11/26?41%▼13.0

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Will GTA6 have a free weekend/"free for limited time" right before (within 1.5 months b4) the 2028 presidential election — 50.0% odds | ProbCast