Here 33 days. This is my 112th proposition. Will I reach 200 propositions by 7/26/26?
Final price
60.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 60.0%.
- Final market price
- 60.0%
- Event deadline
- July 25, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 60.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Here 33 days. This is my 112th proposition. Will I reach 200 propositions by 7/26/26? The final Manifold price was 60.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 60.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 22, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 25, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 91d ago
Related markets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
0%YESTrust 46
Polymarket$47.6K 24h
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
3%YESTrust 14
Polymarket$103K 24h
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
0%YESTrust 51
Polymarket$42.2K 24h
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
96%YESTrust 13
Polymarket$59.3K 24h
Will the S&P 500 close on Friday, October 23, 2026, at a level lower than that of Friday, October 16, 2026?
66%YESTrust 0
Manifold226.5 mana 24h
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early)
75%YESTrust 0
Manifold160.2 mana 24h