ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 61d ago
When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID?
Final price
52.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.0%.
- Final market price
- 52.0%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 52.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 52.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID? The final Manifold price was 52.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 5, 2026 at 11:39 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 61d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ93.7
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ150.1
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 52.0%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
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