ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 3m ago
Will ACR launch the next challenge before 8pm pst
Final price
44.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.8%.
- Final market price
- 44.8%
- Event deadline
- August 5, 2026 at 11:23 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will ACR launch the next challenge before 8pm pst The final Manifold price was 44.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.8%.
- Market data as of
- August 6, 2026 at 2:15 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 6, 2026 at 2:18 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 5, 2026 at 11:23 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 3m ago
What this market actually measures
If ACR from defcon posts the challenge in the discord before 8 then you are right and if not you are wrong
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
If ACR from defcon posts the challenge in the discord before 8 then you are right and if not you are wrong
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ39.2
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ0
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
Related markets
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1%YESTrust 88
Polymarket$190.5K 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1%YESTrust 90
Polymarket$129.8K 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
45%YESTrust 82