Will 10 or more countries have elected artificial candidates to political offices by 2036?

Resolution

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2035, at least 10 different countries have elected an artificial candidate to a public political office. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. For the purposes of this market: "Elected" means winning a seat in a public, representative election (at the municipal, regional, or national level) where voters cast ballots. Appointed roles (such as Albania's 2025 appointment of the AI chatbot "Diella" to a ministerial post) do not count as "elected". "Artificial candidate" is defined as an AI chatbot, artificial neural network, expert system, virtual avatar, or robot officially running for office. "Country" is defined as any sovereign state that is a member of the United Nations, plus Taiwan, Kosovo, and Palestine. "Political office" includes seats in national parliaments/congresses, municipal or city councils, mayoralties, or heads of state. Source of Truth: Resolution will be based on reports from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, Deutsche Welle) or official national election commission websites. Note: The creator may edit the target resolution date of December 31, 2035, if they prefer a different timeframe. Background The concept of the "virtual politician" has rapidly transitioned from a novelty to actual election ballots. In 2024, the UK saw "AI Steve" run for parliament, while Cheyenne, Wyoming, hosted a mayoral run by "VIC" (Virtual Integrated Citizen). In March 2026, Colombia saw its first AI-driven congressional candidate, "Gaitana IA," run for an Indigenous seat. While some governments have begun incorporating AI into appointed executive structures—most notably Albania appointing the virtual avatar "Diella" as its Minister of State for Artificial Intelligence in September 2025—AI candidates have yet to win popular elections on a significant scale. This market tracks whether AI-led or AI-mediated candidacies will successfully win public office across at least 10 distinct countries. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.