Iran leadership change by December 31?14%6.0Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?92%12.3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?6%2.5Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?80%11.0Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?84%4.3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?47%8.5Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?48%6.0Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?23%3.6Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?20%9.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?20%2.6Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)?42%7.6Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?0%0.3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?69%1.5US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?69%0.0Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?5%2.0Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?27%7.0

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Ethereum price at Aug 3, 2026 at 2am EDT? — 0.0% odds | ProbCast