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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼13.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44%▲13.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?5%▼37.2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?13%▼27.0Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?57%▲17.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?1%▼14.7Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?42%▲7.4Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?7%▼37.5Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?4%▼11.4Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?34%▲10.5Fed rate hike in 2026?67%▲9.0Will Solana reach $120 in August?4%▼16.3Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?1%▼16.0Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?1%▼6.5Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?46%▲15.0Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?24%▲6.0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼13.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44%▲13.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?5%▼37.2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?13%▼27.0Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?57%▲17.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?1%▼14.7Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?42%▲7.4Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?7%▼37.5Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?4%▼11.4Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?34%▲10.5Fed rate hike in 2026?67%▲9.0Will Solana reach $120 in August?4%▼16.3Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?1%▼16.0Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?1%▼6.5Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?46%▲15.0Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?24%▲6.0

Event · resolves around 2026-09-30

Fed Rate Hike — rate decision · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $67.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?PolymarketMacro / Fed46%-1.0 pts$67.4K7971Developing
🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?ManifoldMacro / Fed47%+25.6 ptsṀ111.4476Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

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