ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?43%▼34.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?35%▼12.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?20%▼23.2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?64%▲11.5Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?50%▼17.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?32%▼5.0Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?57%▲14.8US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?94%▼3.7US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?87%▼4.0Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?9%▼13.3Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?43%▼14.0Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?30%▲11.9US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?60%▼8.0Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?16%▲7.0Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?19%▼44.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?72%▼10.0

Event · resolves around 2026-09-21

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $66.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27?Polymarket7%-1.0 pts17Likely noise
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?Polymarket19%-44.0 pts13Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.