ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?82%▲28.8Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?0%▼22.9Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?66%▼7.5Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?55%▼20.9Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?15%▲14.3Will 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH again more than 267.8431 USDC Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC32%▲28.8US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?13%▼9.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?47%▲0.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?84%▲4.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?27%▲6.7Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?23%▲0.0Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?0%▼3.4Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?14%▲3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?7%▼5.0Will Trump have a national address this week and call certain aspects of the AI race an imminent threat to humanity?16%▼8.4Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?7%▲0.0

Event · resolves around 2026-09-14

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $168.1K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 14?Polymarket100%+0.1 pts66Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?Polymarket98%+0.4 pts60Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.